Sure, our research suggests Johnson will win his fourth consecutive Sprint Cup. But three others have better odds than Johnson, a stark contrast from last week in Martinsville where Vegas was begging you not to take the champ.

Keselowski won the first race at Talladega this year. Perhaps you remember the finish.

So why in the blue hell is he 30/1 with Paul Menard, whose record  is diddly and poo? (Note: Menard’s best finish was at Talladega.) Pardon me while I leave to go walk my dog all the way to the Mandalay Bay.

David Reutimann won his first career race this season. Still, he’s below Casey Mears. Michael Waltrip has most of his career success on superspeedways and is 40/1, tied with Robby Gordon. Marcos Ambrose has impressed many this year and is dead last in the odds. Can an improving race team get a little respect?

In all seriousness, the odds at this race are bunched more tightly than any other race this year. As unpredictable as racing can be on the track, things could be that much more profitable if you pick the right driver. And yes, we know you would be making these picks in states where such activity is legal. Plus, these are for entertainment purposes only.

Vegasinsider.com odds for AMP Energy 500
TONY STEWART 5 / 1  
JEFF GORDON 6 / 1
KYLE BUSCH 6 / 1  
JUAN MONTOYA 7 / 1  
JIMMIE JOHNSON 7 / 1  
DALE EARNHARDT JR 8 / 1  
 KURT BUSCH 10 / 1  
DENNY HAMLIN 12 / 1
RYAN NEWMAN 12 / 1  
MARK MARTIN 12 / 1
 CARL EDWARDS 15 / 1  
CLINT BOWYER 16 / 1
BRIAN VICKERS 18 / 1  
KEVIN HARVICK 20 / 1  
GREG BIFFLE 22 / 1
 CASEY MEARS 22 / 1  
KASEY KAHNE 25 / 1  
MATT KENSETH 25 / 1
DAVID RAGAN 25 / 1
JEFF BURTON 25 / 1
BRAD KESLOWSKI 30 / 1
PAUL MENARD 30 / 1
DAVID REUTIMANN 35 / 1  
JOEY LOGANO 35 / 1  
JAMIE MCMURRAY 35 / 1  
ROBBY GORDON 40 / 1  
MARTIN TRUEX JR 40 / 1  
MICHAEL WALTRIP 40 / 1  
ELLIOTT SADLER 50 / 1  
REED SORENSON 60 / 1
MARCOS AMBROSE 75 / 1  
FIELD - ALL OTHERS 12 / 1