DAYTONA 500 LATE ODDS

 

We didn’t need a stinking starting order to talk about the Daytona 500 odds. Now that we have a starting order, it’s time to put mythical money where my mouth is.

This season, I’m going to wager $50 of fake money (I’m married – like I have disposable income) on each race. I’ll use the same odds from USA Today and track my progress/losses for the sake of entertainment purposes only. Some weeks I’ll pick one driver. Some weeks I’ll hedge my bets. And yes, I have no clue how this will go.

Editor’s Note: We do. For starters, we know how much Dan gets paid. No way he’s throwing down $50 a week. We also went to college with Dan. You would be nuts to follow his advice with real money. If this is for anything more than fun, you need help. In fact, is this was our Twitter account, we would type #Disclaimer and #Dope.

Why I’m thinking what I’m thinking

Somewhere John Mellencamp is smiling. Seven of the top ten favorites have the Chevy logo on their car. The manufacturer ran well in every phase of racing the past few weeks.

As for Ford, I like Kasey Kahne. But I struggle thinking Richard Petty Motorsports can win the 500 in their first race with a new manufacturer. And aren’t you worried about how Roush Fenway has been running the past few weeks? You can’t struggle for two weeks and magically fix things Sunday. Plus Carl Edwards was a boring host on Monday Night Raw, and I don’t like people messing with my wrestling.

So what about Toyota? Look at their numbers below. I blame the Prius.

I also like my math better betting on Chevy, which from the natural segue department leads to the following.

What am I thinking?

$20 on Jimmie Johnson at 10/1: Jimmie’s not bad. He’s won at Daytona. He has a good starting position. He has the HBO vibe working for him. Why he’s 10/1 is beyond me, unless Vegas wants to take my money, which they do. Wait, can I change my mind?

$10 on Kevin Harvick at 12/1: Harvick has run well all week. He’s won the 500. He’s in a contract year, and has a boss who wants to keep him and his sponsorship. That equals Farkas man crush.

$10 on Juan Montoya at 20/1: Juan Montoya didn’t win a race in 2009, but had a fighting chance at the title. He’s too good to not win on a non-road course. If I’m drinking the Chevy Kool-Aid, this guy is like Berry Blue, underappreciated and great value.

$10 on Ryan Newman at 30/1: His race team is essentially an extension of Hendrick. He made the Chase. He’s won the 500. I am going to take a long shot every race, and this seems like the safest risk I’ve taken since going head first in a sled race with Scott Anderson back in 1990 ( I crashed into a tree and got a concussion that day. Please don’t tell my mom.)

The odds for your favorite driver are below. Enjoy the race, and insert random catchphrase here.
 
Daytona 500  
Tony Stewart 7-1
Jimmie Johnson 10-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 10-1
Jeff Gordon 12-1
Denny Hamlin 12-1
Kasey Kahne 12-1
Kevin Harvick 12-1
Kurt Busch 15-1
Mark Martin 15-1
Carl Edwards 18-1
Matt Kenseth 20-1
Juan Montoya 20-1
David Ragan 25-1
Clint Bowyer 25-1
Greg Biffle 25-1
Ryan Newman 30-1
Jamie McMurray 30-1
Jeff Burton 30-1
Brian Vickers 40-1
A.J. Allmendinger 40-1
Elliott Sadler 40-1
David Reutimann 40-1
Joey Lagano 40-1
Martin Truex Jr. 40-1
Brad Keselowski 50-1
Marcos Ambrose 60-1
Sam Hornish, Jr. 60-1
Michael Waltrip 100-1
Paul Menard 100-1
Scott Speed 100-1
Bobby Labonte 100-1
Field ( Any Other Driver ) 50-1