FedEx 400 Odds

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From a monster race to a Monster Mile , the 2014 Sprint Cup takes teams to Dover this week.  Odds are out, and odds are a familiar face will wind up in Victory Lane.

The #48 Monster at Dover:

Jimmie Johnson has eight wins in 24 career starts Dover. That’s twice as many as any other driver on tour. Even more astonishing, Johnson finished 10th or better in more than 70 percent of his career starts.

While it’s no surprise Johnson is the favorite, the 9/2 numbers are higher than normal for such a dominant driver at a particular track. Kyle Busch has been as low as 3/1 at Bristol. Johnson often finds himself at 6/1 at tracks where he doesn’t run well.  Still, if past predictors indicate future success, the 9/2 odds for a 3/1 winning percentage look good.

Roush Reality:

What doesn’t look good are the numbers for Roush Fenway Racing.

  • Carl Edwards has the second highest average finish among active drivers and one win at Dover. He’s 15/1.
  • Greg Biffle has two wins and the fourth highest finishing position among active drivers. Biffle is 30/1.
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has the 10th best average finish among active drivers and is 100/1.

If this is the week RFR gets on track, it will make some people very happy. If not, when does RFR get on track?

Long Shots In Play:

The long shots aren’t just limited to RFR. Only four divers have better average finishes at Dover than Clint Bowyer, who can be had for 20/1.  Tony Stewart and Kurt Busch are both 30/1 and have won at Dover.  Ryan Newman has three career Dover wins and is 60/1.

Chances are this monster will look like the monster last week at Charlotte Motor Speedway, with Jimmie Johnson dominating the race and Victory Lane. But if Johnson doesn’t come through, it may prove to be a breakthrough for the driver who wins and the people who put faith in those long odds. Here are Sunday’s FedEx 400 odds for your favorite driver. Enjoy Sunday’s FedEx 400, and insert a random catchphrase here.