The odds are out for the final race in the 2013 Sprint Cup season. In a season that has been full of strange, it’s fitting to see how strange the numbers look for Sunday’s Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Joe Gibbs Racing has had the best results on 1.5 tracks this year. On the surface, it’s not a huge shock to see Matt Kenseth the favorite at 7/2 and Kyle Busch at 5/1.
But look at the success of Gibbs drivers at Homestead over the last five years.
- Ten drivers have fared better than Kenseth.
- Fifteen have fared better than Kyle Busch.
- Denny Hamlin lost the Sprint Cup title here and is 9th in terms of average finish among active drivers. Plus, he’s been cursed this year.
This year’s history and recent history are at odds. As well as Gibbs cars have run, I would stay away.
Jimmie Johnson Is Where?
15/1. That’s not a typo. The guy who will most likely win his sixth Sprint Cup title Sunday is in the middle of the pack. Of course, Johnson doesn’t need to win. Still, it’s much easier to avoid trouble when leading the race than running in the middle of the pack. What better way to cap off a historically successful season than to win the final race? Those odds are inviting. Real inviting. Almost too good to be true inviting.
Everything Must Go!!
Here’s a quick look at drivers with the best average finish at Homestead over the last five years:
- Carl Edwards is 18/1 and loves 1.5 miles tracks.
- Kevin Harvick 7/1 and can cement his claim as “Driver using 2013 to make a statement for 2014″ guy.
- Clint Bowyer is 20/1 and can help Michael Waltrip Racing regain some of is mojo lost in Richmond.
- Martin Truex is 20/1 and can leave MWR in a way that makes CM Punk proud.
Not since Talladega have the odds been this random. Someone is going to win with long odds. What a fitting way to end such a surprising 2013 Sprint Cup season.