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MENARD'S FLOPPER LEAD SHRINKS

Posted 09/30/09 at 5:00 AM PDT by Dale Watermill | Email This |

With Dover over and Kansas on the horizon, it is time to update the FLOPPER standings. For those of you new to the game, FLOPPER stands for Finishes Last in Overall Points while Participating in Every Race. Until a few weeks ago the title was Robby Gordon’s to lose, which is exactly what he did when he skipped the race in Richmond to go off-roading in Nevada. Now the award is Paul Menard’s to lose, and he appears intent on losing it as well. Let's take a look at an expanded version of the FLOPPER standings:

 
1) First off, congratulations to Menard for his strong lead-lap finish in 19th place, which really took a big chunk out of his 100-point lead in the standings. He finished ahead of Dale Earnhardt Jr., Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin and David Reutimann.
 
2) What's most surprising to me on this list is the fact that Sam Hornish Jr. has SEVEN top 10s this year. I honestly thought that was a typo, so I had to go back and look through his results this year. Yep, it's true. He really does have seven top 10s. Would you have guessed that? But he's still down here so low because of his five DNFs and the fact that only 11 times out of 28 has he finished on the lead lap. His finishes are either very good or very bad.
 
3) I am still shocked at how poorly David Ragan is doing this year. For a guy who was 13th in the standings last year, and was racing even hotter at the end of the year, I don't know why he’s been so off this season. It doesn't make any sense to me. I know Roush is struggling in general, but I don't get why Ragan has dropped this much. Maybe 2008 was the fluke and this is the norm?
 
4) Good job to Reed Sorenson, who has zero DNFs this year, while everybody else around him in the standings (26th-31st) has four or five of them. Nice job staying on track. Maybe he can use this stat to convince sponsors and owners to pay him for a ride.
 
(All Left Turns contributor Dale Watermill is the creator of the Watermill Score and edits the racing statistics blog 36 Races. E-mail him at 36races@gmail.com.)
 
Related links:

Updated championship probability table: Johnson passes Stewart and Martin
Menard strengthens FLOPPER lead
Updated championship probability table: Martin closes in on Stewart
Winning in NASCAR is like counting cards
Chase bonus points are meaningless
Jimmie Johnson has most points at Chase tracks this season
Numbers say Cup is Stewart's to lose
The Watermill Score: How to win a Sprint Cup title
Replacing crew chiefs has not helped Dale Earnhardt Jr.

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