Nascar Odds: 2014 Brickyard 400

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It’s the 20th anniversary of what is supposed to be Nascar’s second biggest race.

Teams and fans can argue all day on the merits of the Brickyard 400. There’s little debate that the odds for this year’s race are some of the strangest this 2014 Sprint Cup season.

The Favorites Are The Favorites:

Jeff Gordon, Jimmie Johnson, Tony Stewart and Kevin Harvick have 12 of the 19 wins at Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Johnson is 5/1 and favored along with Brad Keselowski. Harvick and Gordon are 8/1. Stewart is 15/1. This is a rare circumstance where the data about past performance relates with the people favored to win.

Small Chances and Small Numbers:

Where things get odd is the pack of drivers in that 15/1-30/1 range. Kasey Kahne has traditionally started well and Indi but not finished well. He’s 15/1. Kyle Larson has zero experience at Indi. He’s 25/1 and ahead of some big names. Juan Montoya (remember him) is 20/1 even though he’s run a whopping one Sprint Cup race all year. Many weeks, these names would be in the 50/1 or 100/1 pile.

Long Shots Who Could Win:

This is what’s so strange about the numbers this week. Only four drivers have a better average finish at Indi that Carl Edwards. Even though Edwards has two wins on the 2014 Sprint Cup season, he’s 50/1 this week. Paul Menard and Jamie McMurray both have Brickyard wins and are 40/1. Austin Dillon is fighting for a Chase spot and is 100/1. Both Richard Petty cars are 300/1.

Do logic and past history suggest one of four drivers will win Sunday’s Brickyard 400? Yes. Do the numbers outside of that featured four look scattered all over the place? Yes. It could make for some very happy people picking long odds this weekend. Here’s how your favorite driver stacks up in the Nascar odds for Sunday’s Brickyard 400.