There’s a new streak in Nascar, though very few seems to care about it very much.
After Aric Almirola’s 60/1 win last week at Daytona, Ford has three straight wins on the the Sprint Cup tour. Surprisingly enough, that’s the longest streak since 2005. However, odds are the streak ends this week at Loudon. Here’s why:
The Pack Is Gone:
After being thrown together in a giant pack of 12/1 at Daytona, the odds are spread back out this week. The top six drivers in terms of average finish at Loudon run Chevy with the exception of Matt Kenseth and Denny Hamlin. Jimmie Johnson is the favorite at 5/1. Jeff Gordon and Kevin Harvick are both 7/1. Then there’s Tony Stewart at 20/1. Stewart has three wins at Loudon and finished fifth or better in nearly half his races here. Stewart has to heat up at some point…
Hamlin and Kenseth each have reason for optimism. Hamlin has two wins in 16 career starts. But there’s not a driver on tour who has a better average finishing position than Hamlin. Kenseth only has one career win at Loudon, but he’s finished tenth or better in half his career starts. Add Kyle Busch’s three career wins and short track success and you can see why Joe Gibbs might be smiling this weekend. Busch is 10/1. Both Hamlin and Kenseth are 12/1.
Keselowski and his cut hand are 7/1. His track record at Loudon has OK, but it’s certainly not overwhelming. Zero wins and three finishes of fifth or better in nine career starts. The Blue Deuce runs well on short tracks, but it would be unchartered territory to win at Loudon, especially with Gordon, Hamlin and Johnson’s success here.
Ford’s best bet might be Carl Edwards, who is 30/1 even though he has the seventh best average finish among active drivers. Edwards hasn’t amazed people on short tracks, but he has won on a variety of dimensions in 2014.
Ford may be in for quite the fight this weekend. Here’s how your favorite driver stacks up for the Camping World RV Sales 301.