Four drivers will compete for the Sprint Cup Sunday. In the eyes of oddsmakers, there is one clear favorite.
Here’s a breakdown of the Nascar odds for the final race of the 2014 Sprint Cup season.
Of those contending for a title, Kevin Harvick is the clear favorite. Nascar oddsmakers have Harvick at 9/2, good enough to be the race favorite. Only Carl Edwards has a better average finishing position at Homestead among active drivers than Harvick. Among the four title contenders, Harvick leads the field. He also tested extremely well at Homestead earlier this year.
Denny Hamlin is the only Chase driver with wins at Homestead. He is 12/1. Ryan Newman remains 30/1 and is tied for the 16th best average finish among active drivers with just one career finish of fifth or better.
The curious case here is Joey Logano. In five career starts at Homestead, Logano has finished tenth or better just one time. In spite of the horrible record, Logano is tied for the third favorite at 7/1.
Because positioning in this race is so crucial, big names have’t had big success here. Jimmie Johnson has never needed to win at Homestead; so he never has won there. With nothing to protect, both he and Jeff Gordon are 5/1.
Brad Keselowski is the only other driver in single digits at 7/1. The Gibbs drivers not in the Chase are 10/1, better odds than Hamlin. Roush Fenway drivers have five wins at Homestead, yet you can get the Carl Edwards swan song at 60/1 and Greg Biffle at 80/1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. is 300/1 along with Marcos Ambrose in his final Sprint Cup run.
Here’s how your driver stacks up in the Nascar odds department for Sunday’s Ford EcoBoost 400. Enjoy the sprint, and insert a random catchphrase here.