Could there be a chink in the armor of Nascar’s current king and Nascar’s most favorite face?
The Nascar odds are out for Sunday’s Hollywood Casino 400. Normally, the race would feature a clear favorite. This year, that driver isn’t at the top.
Six Red Flags:
There isn’t a driver alive with a better average finish among Sprit Cup competitors at Kansas than Jimmie Johnson. It’s not close. Johnson has two spots on the field.
While past data shows Johnson to be a clear favorite, oddsmakers don’t have the No. 48 there, or second or third. It’s not like 6/1 is a sign that Johnson has no chance to win. It does seem to indicate that the six-time champ has far stiffer competition than normal in the quest for seven, or maybe that Johnson isn’t just that incredible this year compared to past years.
The Four Horsemen:
The other interesting trend relates to a new field of four. Jeff Gordon is the only driver with three career wins at Kansas and is the favorite at 4/1. Brad Keselowski is 9/2. Joey Logano is 8/1.
So what about Dale Earnhardt Jr.? He’s 10/1. In the eyes of oddsmakers, it’s now Kevin Harvick who is the new fifth favorite. Harvick is at 5/1, even though he seems cursed by bad luck and pit problems.
The No.88 hasn’t been great the last six weeks, but this is the first race where those stumbles resulted in getting dropped to double digit odds. Like Johnson, a 10/1 number isn’t a slap in the face, but the trend is moving in another direction.
There are 37 others who will race. Of that crowd, the Nascar odds suggest Matt Kenseth and Kasey Kahne are most likely to break through with wins. They are at 10/1 and 15/1 respectively.
Among those not in the Chase, Kyle Larson and new dad Clint Bowyer are 20/1 and 30/1.
Among those booted from the Chase, there’s no sense any will break out and win with their new found free time. Kurt Busch has the best number at 40/1.
Here are the Nascar odds for your favorite driver at Sunday’s Hollywood Casino 400. Enjoy the race, and insert a random catchphrase here.