Nascar Odds: 400

Courtesy: Chicagoland Speedway

Courtesy: Chicagoland Speedway

Sixteen drivers begin their journey to a Sprint Cup title Sunday at the 400

In reality, it looks like only five have a chance to take home the title. That reality is reflected in the Nascar odds for this week’s race outside at Chicagoland Speedway.

The Favorite Five:

Brad Keselowksi, Jimmie Johnson, Jeff Gordon, Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Joey Logano have 16 of the 26 Sprint Cup wins this season. That’s 61.5 percent for those counting online.

Of the five, Brad Keselwoski is this week’s favorite at 5/1. Gordon, who is currently favored to win the Sprint Cup, is right behind at 5.5/1, closely followed by Johnson at 6/1.

Logano and Earnhardt Jr. are lagging a bit. Logano is 8/1, and the No. 88, in spite of his season, is 10/1 this week.

The Other Chasers:

Kevin Harvick is an interesting name. One one hand, Harvick has a great pedigree at Chicagoland Speedway and multiple wins on the 2014 Sprint Cup season. The result leaves Harvick as a co-favorite at 5/1.

On the other hand, Harvick literally swapped his entire pit crew with Tony Stewart. That hasn’t happened since Jimmie Johnson tried it a year he didn’t win the Sprint Cup title. Those results speak for themselves.

At least Harvick is perceived as a contender. Carl Edwards has two wins on the year but is 25/1 this week. Ryan Newman is 33/1, and Greg Biffle finds himself as a 40/1 long shot.

Everyone Else:

A favorite pastime of mine this time of year is figuring out which driver will wreck someone’s Chase chances. This either happens in the form of a literal wreck. paging David Reutimann, or in the form of someone actually winning a race who isn’t in the Chase.

Because of the new format, this doesn’t seem as likely.  There are still some interesting stories that could play out.

  • The rookie wins a race card finds Kyle Larson at 33/1 and Austin Dillon at 150/1
  • The Clint Bowyer remembers he’s Clint Bowyer story finds him at 33/1
  • The how does the sports world react if Tony Stewart wins card leaves Stewart at 16/1

It’s time to start chasing. Here’s how your favorite driver stacks up in the Nascar odds department for this week’s 400.