For starting the season so slowly, Jimmie Johnson sure knows how to speed things up.
Nascar odds are out for Saturday night’s Quaker State 400. On the surface, it should be no surprise that Johnson is a 4/1 favorite. Looking at a deeper dive of the numbers, it’s interesting to see the two horses who lead this pack.
Johnson At Kentucky:
Johnson has three top-10 finishes at Kentucky. Only once has the #48 finished fifth or better. Johnson has never been to Victory Lane here. That didn’t stop Johnson from winning at Michigan, but he wasn’t the favorite. At 4/1 the sense is Johnson’s issues here are one of small sample size and not related to on track activity.
The Other Contender:
It’s Kevin Harvick, which speaks more to his 2014 than his past performance.
- Harvick has the eighth best average finish among active drivers at Kentucky.
- Harvick hasn’t won at Kentucky.
- Harvick has 9/2 odds, well ahead of a pack of drivers at 8/1.
There’s no reason Harvick can’t be a factor Saturday night. Nascar odds on his success still seem a bit high.
The three winners at Kentucky are Matt Kenseth, Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski. The Blue Deuce is in an 8/1 pack with Joey Logano, Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Jeff Gordon. Both Kenseth and Busch are 12/1. Both happen to be the top two in terms of average finish in the race’s three-year history.
The other name to consider is Kasey Kahne. As bad as his 2014 has been, Hendrick Motorsports has five straight Sprint Cup wins; Kahne has the fifth best average finish among active drivers at Kentucky.
Kentucky Speedway brands itself on being a bumpy ride. Let’s see if the Nascar odds really do call for smooth sailing for Johnson or Harvick Saturday night. Here’s how your favorite driver stacks up for the Quaker State 400.