CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITY TABLE: MARTIN CLOSES IN ON STEWART

Coming off Mark Martin's dramatic win in New Hampshire this Sunday, we have a brand new updated table of championship probabilities. 1) Martin is now only three percentage points behind Tony Stewart, who finished 14th. This is particularly encouraging for Martin, considering he had never won at Loudon before and disliked the track so much he left it off his schedule the last two years.2) Juan Pablo Montoya's strong run moved him higher in the points standings, but his title percentage remains ...

//more

WHY YOUR DRIVER WILL LOSE THE CHASE: RYAN NEWMAN

The first race of the 2009 Chase is hours away. Viva excitement. While 11 drivers ponder the potential of being called champion, Ryan Newman should  think about his next fishing trip. Nobody is going to win the 2009 Sprint Cup. Certainly not Ryan Newman. Here’s why: Dude’s boss is Tony StewartNot only does Tony Stewart get to hang out with Erik Estrada and Carrot Top, he also hangs atop the point standings. A first year driver/owner taking home the title would be one of racin ...

//more

WHY YOUR DRIVER WILL LOSE THE CHASE: KASEY KAHNE

Your driver will not win the 2009 Sprint Cup title. We already know why Juan Pablo Montoya and Carl Edwards shouldn’t even bother to run the final 10 races. And I think Kasey Kahne should join them on the “Sit on Your Bum Express.” Here’s why:   33,33,24Those aren’t the dimensions of his newest lady friend. They are the three worst finishes Kahne had at Chase tracks in 2008. In 2007, the three worst finishes were 40th, 32nd and 24th. In 2006, they were ...

//more

WHY YOUR DRIVER WILL LOSE THE CHASE: CARL EDWARDS

 Your driver will not win the 2009 Chase. I have already explained why Juan Pablo Montoya is out of luck. Now it’s time for Carl Edwards to find out why failure is staring him in the windshield.  DUDE HAS A BROKEN FOOTNASCAR injuries are rare. Breaking the foot you use to slam the pedal to the metal is even rarer. Breaking that foot while tossing around a Frisbee is not only rare and awkward, but a deal breaker. People don’t bet on injured athletes in sports. If NASCAR i ...

//more

CHASE BONUS POINTS ARE MEANINGLESS

 Despite all the talk about "needing to win to get those extra 10 Chase bonus points," it turns out that those bonus points have proved absolutely meaningless in seasons past. In the first few Chases, five points were awarded per rankings in the standings. Then NASCAR switched to 10 points per win. In all cases, however, those points have not had a meaningful effect on the championship.  The only thing that has mattered is how many points each driver scored in the final ...

//more

WHY YOUR DRIVER WILL LOSE THE CHASE: JUAN PABLO MONTOYA

 (Editor's note: This is the first in a 12-part series.) Twelve men have a chance to call themselves the 2009 Sprint Cup champion. Many sites are making bold predictions about who will win and why. I have no idea who will win, but I know who won’t: everyone. You got it. Nobody is going to win the 2009 Sprint Cup. A big squadoosh sandwich. For the next few weeks I am going to explain why every single driver won’t win the Chase, starting with Juan Pablo Montoya. Montoya ...

//more

JIMMIE JOHNSON HAS MOST POINTS AT CHASE TRACKS THIS SEASON

The Sprint Cup Series already has visited eight of the 10 tracks remaining on the schedule. Want to know who will be among the favorites to win the Chase? An interesting exercise would be to see who scored the most points at those eight tracks the first time around. Note: I am only considering the 12 drivers who made the Chase.  In fact, Matt Kenseth and David Reutimann would be high on this list and Kyle Busch would be ahead of Juan Pablo Montoya - had they made the Chase. Not surprisi ...

//more

FIVE LIKELY CHASERS WHO WON’T WIN THE CUP

Last week I predicted that Kyle Busch would knock Matt Kenseth out of the Chase field, leaving Kenseth and Brian Vickers on the outside looking in during the final 10 races. Even after Atlanta, where Vickers improved his chances and Busch did not, I am not going back on my words now. Below are five drivers whom I believe will be in the Chase. What do they all have in common? None of them will be hoisting a championship trophy after the Miami race. Greg Biffle One of the stronger Roushkateers ...

//more

FAMOUS BUBBLES TAKE ON THE BUBBLE BOYS

 This weekend is the final race for the Chase and several drivers are stuck on the bubble.  Matt Kenseth and Greg Biffle appear vulnerable to the charging Brian Vickers and Kyle Busch.  Could Busch lead the Sprint Cup in wins (four wins - tied with Mark Martin), but miss the Chase?  Can Kenseth hang onto the 12th spot?  Which of the top 12 drivers are vulnerable this weekend?To answer these important questions about NASCAR's Bubble Boys, several other famous bubbles weig ...

//more

VICKERS, BUSCH ONLY BUBBLE DRIVERS WITH SHOT AT MAKING THE CHASE

With one race left before the Chase field is set, you can almost throw out all of the old probability tables we have discussed before. Obviously, anything can happen in this final race.Fortunately we have a guide: the previous 25 races this season. If we simulate this Saturday night's race at Richmond by taking the results from the past 25 races this year, we can narrow the possibilities of what the standings could look like on Sunday. Most importantly, we can use these numbers to get a good sen ...

//more
1 4 5 6 7