KAHNE WINS PEP BOYS AUTO 500

Maybe they should run two races in Atlanta every year. In a season full of disappointments - rainouts, low ratings and attendance, drug scandal - the first Labor Day weekend night race at Atlanta Motor Speedway proved to be a pleasant success. It looked like it would actually be fun to go to. When's the last time anyone said that about a race in Atlanta? (Or, for that matter, an anything in Atlanta?)Kasey Kahne won the Pep Boys Auto 500, moving from 11th to 6th in the Chase standings with one ra ...

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WILL BUSCH OR VICKERS MAKE THE CHASE?

Only two races remain before the Chase field is set. Kyle Busch and Brian Vickers, who sit in 13th and 14th place, will be pushing 12th-place Matt Kenseth hard for the final spot in Atlanta and Richmond over the next two weekends.So which of these outsiders has the advantage? This weekend Vickers returns to Atlanta Motor Speedway, where he made his Cup debut in 2003, and has performed well throughout his career. In 12 series starts there he has finished in the top 10 five times. His first top ...

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BUSCH, VICKERS HAVE EQUAL SHOT AT BREAKING INTO CHASE

Following the Saturday night race at Bristol, the Sprint Cup Series saw another shakeup in the points standings. With just two races left until the 12-driver Chase field is finalized, let’s take a look at the updated probability table.Because of the strength of the competitors in the 12th through 14th spots, I am updating the 12th place points target to 3,172.  That is up from 3,149 last week, and the 3,120 I had been using the last few weeks.  This will cause some previous " ...

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WIN HELPS VICKERS SURGE IN CHASE QUALIFYING PROBABILITIES

Brian Vickers’ win at Michigan International Speedway on Sunday meant a big shakeup in the points standings, as well as the probabilities for each driver's Chase qualifying percentage.Some notes of interest:1) First off, because of the strong performances of the overall driving group, I am moving up the 12th place target level from 3,120 points to 3,149 points.2) This 3,120 to 3,149 points upgrade, along with his bad race on Sunday, is why Juan Pablo Montoya's qualifying probability went d ...

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HITLER MISSES CHASE FOR THE CUP: TAKE 2

Let's try this again. Last week I posted a parody of the movie Downfall in which Hitler goes bonkers after his Sprint Cup team fails to make the Chase. What I did not realize was that, in order to read the subtitles that are the funniest part of the video, you need to hit play, then hit the "Turn on Captions" button on the bottom right-hand side of the video. I already had the captions activated, but most readers did not. (Thanks to Screen Junkies for pointing this out.) After learning ...

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UPDATED CHASE QUALIFYING PROBABILITIES

With the Watkins Glen race in the record books, it's time to update the Chase qualifying probability table. Some notes of interest:1.) Kyle Busch doubled his chances of making the Chase with his fourth-place finish at Watkins Glen on Monday.2.) David Reutimann is basically out at this point. He was so close a couple of weeks ago, but the two Monday races have taken him out of contention.3.) If Jeff Burton leads the most laps and wins the next four races, he might barely make the Chase by 10 poin ...

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