FOOD CITY 500 ODDS

This is the toughest column to write all year. Fifty fake dollars on Kyle Busch at 5/1. I could be done right now, go outside and start mulching my yard. Busch owns Bristol. But there are three reasons to wonder if the most obvious move of the year is really so obvious. 1. Busch’s odds went up:Busch was 4/1 and 3/1 in some places for the Bristol night race. Everyone on the planet knows most real and fake money will go his way. If oddsmakers give me a better chance to make more fake curr ...

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KOBALT TOOLS 400 ODDS

Two races down. Thirty-four races to go. It’s not The Undertaker at Wrestlemania, but I am undefeated in the 2012 Sprint Cup season, up a fake 210 dollars after Denny Hamlin’s win in Phoenix. And with so much success early in the season, it seems like a logical time to deviate from my early season strategy. Here’s why. Vegas is fickle:Anyone who has been there multiple times knows this for other reasons. But only four drivers have multiple wins at LVMS. Even though people lo ...

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DAYTONA 500 ODDS

The Great American Race is here.Racing’s biggest day sparks the beginning of the 2012 Sprint Cup season. Another new year brings another year of wagering fake money on every race, which ought to be interesting when you see the numbers coupled with the action we’ve seen over the last week.As always, there are three ground rules for my picks: I bet fifty fake dollars on every race.  My goal is to double my fake money should I win.I never follow the rules I make up during the ye ...

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2012 SPRINT CUP CHAMPION ODDS

2012 Sprint Cup odds...oh how I've missed you.The numbers are out. And even though there have been three whopping days of testing at Daytona, the numbers will surprise you. Here are three driver ranked too high and too low. Tony Stewart at 5/1: Too HighStewart’s 2011 Chase is movie material. Maybe straight to HBO, but movies are movies.If it took history to get Stewart his third trophy, why would he be a favorite to repeat? Cinderellas don’t repeat. Not even if they hang out with ...

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2011 ODDS REVIEW

Eleven wins. Twenty-six losses. If this was an academic setting, the 29.7% success rate would equal failure.If this was a batting average, the 29.7% success rate would equal a $10 million contract.When betting fake money on Sprint Cup races, the 29.7% success rate does equal a fake profit of 125 bucks for the year.Here’s a breakdown on how we arrived where we arrived. The Chase rules:Just like 2010, the Chase provided a great opportunity to make fake money. The type of track whittles do ...

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AAA 500 ODDS

New year. Same reality.Every year, the Chase begins. At first, all the drivers are within a few points of each other, legit contenders. Every week, a driver or two has a run of bad luck and goes out of contention. With three races left, three drivers find themselves in a solid place to win the 2011 Sprint Cup. The names might be new, but the same questions still linger Why are people not in the Chase still driving?If you’re not in the Chase, you shouldn’t race. Brian Vickers might ...

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TUMS FAST RELIEF 500 ODDS

 Denny Hamlin. Jimmie Johnson. Jeff Gordon. The three Musketeers of Martinsville. In the last five years, the trio combined for eight wins and 22 finishes of fifth or better. It would be crazy to not pick this trio to win Sunday. Maybe I’m nuts. Hamlin is hosed, and Johnson is resigned:Hamlin went all in to sink Jimmie Johnson and busted out. Since Daytona in February, it’s looked like a dark cloud has hovered over the entire team. Hamlin and Mike Ford look like they’r ...

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GOOD SAM CLUB 500 ODDS

  Talladega is always unpredictable. Sunday’s Good Sam Club 500 might be even unpredictable by Talladega standards. Here’s why:  NASCAR is changing the rules again:The goal is get rid of those two-car drafts. Will it work? Who knows. Will it impact how team runs? Probably. How? Not sure anyone will know until Sunday.Alignment issues:If you have two-car draft, how does that align with the Chase? Kevin Harvick ran with Clint Bowyer, who has one foot out the door to Mi ...

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BANK OF AMERICA 500 ODDS

It’s the final night race of the 2011 Sprint Cup schedule. I’m sad too.Even though Halloween is a few weeks away, suspect some goulish behavior Saturday night. Here’s why. Teams are well rested:Crews will be home for two straight weeks. It’s like the eye of a hurricane in the season’s marathon finish. Add friends and family in the stands, and stuff is bound to happen.If a non Chaser wins at all the rest of the season, it’s this week.I know Talladega is comi ...

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HOLLYWOOD CASINO 400 ODDS

Just when things seem easier to predict, they get that much tougher.Kurt Busch bucked a trend, won a race and cost me fake money last week in Dover. I should still be happy up 65 fake dollars, but I’m not. Here’s why. Predicting races during the Chase should get easier. Drivers on the outside rarely get into Victory Lane. Smart fans know who the contenders are and can ride them to wins. Heck, Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson led me from virtual bankruptcy to being up big for the ye ...

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