FORD ECOBOOST 400 ODDS

We’re finally here.
The final race of the 2012 Sprint Cup schedule is upon us. Two drivers have a chance to take home the Sprint Cup. But there are four stories in play for this final race. As a result, there are four drivers getting my final fake dollars on the 2012 season. The driver who needs to win: 20 fake dollars on Jimmie Johnson at 4/1Johnson has the tenth best average finish among active drivers and has never won here. But Five Time has never had this large a deficit heading in ...

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ADVOCARE 500 PHOENIX ODDS

Apparently there’s no point watching the final two races of the 2012 Sprint Cup season.The good news is Jimmie Johnson’s win last week ensured me a third straight winning season. The bad news is that many are now just handing Captain Lowe’s his sixth Sprint Cup in seven years.  Here are three reasons why that’s way too premature. Clumsy Behavior:Teams are coming out of the woodworks to get ready for 2013. Some of these teams are, at best, unreliable. Cut tires, pe ...

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AAA TEXAS 500 ODDS

It’s time for someone to crash the party. Who is it going to be?In 2010, Carl Edwards created a push that led to his near title in 2011. In 2011, Denny Hamlin seemed to recalibrate to his successful (except for last week 2011.) We’re now at a point where non-contenders make their push for 2013 mojo. Here are three likely contenders: Kevin Harvick:I get it. Harvick is in the Chase. But did you ever look at him at some point in 2012 and see a potential Sprint Cup Champion? The talen ...

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TUMS FAST RELIEF 500 ODDS

Losing streaks. They happen in ever sport and walk of life.For drivers like Dale Earnhardt Jr., they become a monkey you can’t seem to shake. For drivers like Martin Truex Jr., they become obstacles you just don’t overcome. Losing streaks, though not as long, are starting to impact the leading contenders for this year’s Chase. The only drivers to win twice during the Chase are Matt Kenseth, who is totally out of the title picture for reasons that make no sense to me, and Bra ...

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HOLLYWOOD CASINO 400 ODDS

How fitting to have a gambling theme when a casino sponsors a race?With four legitimate contenders competing for the 2012 Sprint Cup title, there are gaming related questions that will impact each of their chances of ending the season as champion. Can Brad Keselowski regain his mojo?Miller Man had a fuel gamble go against him. That’s unheard of. Fuel economy is Keselowski’s biggest competitive advantage. Without it, he can’t take home the title.Can Jimmie Johnson win a race? ...

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BANK OF AMERICA 500 ODDS

My picks stink.As the worst losing streak of my careers continues, let’s not worry about fake picks that haven’t been entertaining (at least not for me) and get Bert Convy on the biggest story in motorsports: Dale Earnhardt Jr. and the concussion crisis in NASCAR. Win: Dale Earnhardt Jr.So the #88 won’t win the Sprint Cup. He wasn’t going to anyway. I remember interviewing him a few years back and was amazed at how well he was able to take information, reflect and grow ...

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GOOD SAM 500 ODDS

It looks so easy on paper. Had I wagered fake money on Jimmie Johnson, Brad Keselowski and Denny Hamlin all season, I would have won nearly 50% of the 2012 Sprint Cup races.At Daytona, this would have seemed out of place. Now, I can’t image doing anything else. What’s amazing here are the odds for Talladega. It’s normally a crap-shoot. The “Big One” knocks out half the field. But consider the following: Who won this race earlier in 2012…Brad Keselowski.Who ...

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AAA 400 ODDS

So the Chase seems to be working.Six drivers are within sixteen points of the lead. Each of the contenders have tracks where they excel and tracks where they struggle. Now we enter one of racing’s most physical tracks, a Monster Mile with monster consequences.Before we get to the fake picks, a quick game of Win, Lose or Draw. Win: Furniture Row RacingKurt Busch could win races next season with this team. His name recognition could yield sponsorship opportunities that could create a seco ...

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SYLVANIA 300 ODDS

It’s amazing what one week can do to the 2012 Sprint Cup season.Jeff Gordon went from sleeper contender to no chance after a mechanical problem. Brad Keselowski went from cute story to points leader. And Denny Hamlin went from calm and confident to must win in the span of a week. Oddsmakers certainly reacted. There is a massive chasm now between contender and afterthought. In three years of writing this column, I’ve never see the divide that exists this week. From 25/1 to 60/1? Th ...

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GEICO 400 ODDS

Tony Stewart ruined my favorite column of the year.Every year, I would write an article using past data to explain why drivers wouldn’t win the Chase. Tony Stewart blew a hole through half of those theories, making this year’s column moot. With that in mind, here are three things to think about when trying to predict a 2012 Sprint Cup Champion. Running Buddies:I still remember Tony Stewart passing Jeff Burton late in a race to pick up an extra point. Turns out that point won Whopp ...

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