SYLVANIA 300 ODDS

It’s amazing what one week can do to the 2012 Sprint Cup season.Jeff Gordon went from sleeper contender to no chance after a mechanical problem. Brad Keselowski went from cute story to points leader. And Denny Hamlin went from calm and confident to must win in the span of a week. Oddsmakers certainly reacted. There is a massive chasm now between contender and afterthought. In three years of writing this column, I’ve never see the divide that exists this week. From 25/1 to 60/1? Th ...

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GEICO 400 ODDS

Tony Stewart ruined my favorite column of the year.Every year, I would write an article using past data to explain why drivers wouldn’t win the Chase. Tony Stewart blew a hole through half of those theories, making this year’s column moot. With that in mind, here are three things to think about when trying to predict a 2012 Sprint Cup Champion. Running Buddies:I still remember Tony Stewart passing Jeff Burton late in a race to pick up an extra point. Turns out that point won Whopp ...

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FEDERATED AUTO PARTS 400 ODDS

So the final race for the Chase has some major dud potential. Silly Season has been anything but. Here’s quick looks at winners and losers, Bert Convy style. Win: Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch.Hamlin gets Roush Fenway insight at the types of tracks where Joe Gibbs Racing has struggled the most. It’s a big missing link.Lose: Trevor Bayne and Brian VickersHow can neither of these guys get a full season commitment?Draw: Joe Gibbs RacingMatt Kenseth helps now. But they spent millions de ...

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IRWIN TOOLS NIGHT RACE ODDS

So what did I miss on vacation?Teammates yelling at other teammates. Chase contenders booting crew chiefs. Brad Keselowski going Sting on Rick Hendrick’s NWO. And now we add a newly repaved Bristol race to the mix…at night. All the people I would normally want to take look vulnerable. Consider this.Kyle Busch needs a win. He has been as low as 3/1 at Bristol. But engine issues, bad luck and poor decisions about race cautions have Busch feeling a bit cursed.Two Hendrick engines we ...

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FINGER LAKES 355 ODDS

Hendrick Motorsports will probably take home the 2012 Sprint Cup, just not with the driver you think.Jimmie Johnson has five titles; Dale Earnhardt Jr. has consistency and confidence; Kasey Kahne is a popular sleeper pick.  But have you seen what Jeff Gordon is doing? Seven races ago, Gordon had 336 points. That amounted to 21st in the standings through 14 races.In the last seven races, Gordon has 275 points, plus a win to get him into Chase contention. And three of the final Chase track ...

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PENNSYLVANIA 400 ODDS

The dog days of summer are here.The 2012 Sprint Cup schedule will return to tracks where it ran earlier this year. None of the tracks we see between now and the Chase will actually be a Chase race. Coupled with a points race that is mellow, at best, and it would be easy to change the channel for the next few weeks. Here are three reasons to stay tuned: The quest to replace AJ Allmendinger:Joey Logano, Brian Vickers, Trevor Bayne and Sam Hornish Jr. fight for the right to be Brad Keselowksi&rs ...

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BRICKYARD 400 ODDS

What is the Brickyard 400?OK, it’s a race. I get it. But this was supposed to be the second biggest race on the schedule when first created. Does it feel like the second biggest race of the 2012 Sprint Cup schedule?Like racing, Indi seems to be changing. Consider the following questions: We are the champions?Eight drivers have won at Indi, then won the season championship. The last two winners didn’t even make the Chase.Can someone make a pass? The Indi 500 is  perfect for pa ...

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LENOX INDUSTRIAL TOOLS 301 ODDS

AJ Allmendinger, what are we going to do with you?I picked Allmendinger to make the Chase, then backed off that prediction when everyone jumped on the bandwagon. After a series of blown race winning predictions, I was done with picking Allmendinger to win.  Still, here’s how these recent events will impact the rest of the 2012 Sprint Cup schedule. Silly Season On SteroidsWill Roger Penske fire Allmendinger? I don’t even think Penske knows. But that potential move coupled with ...

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COKE ZERO 400 ODDS

It’s really hot.As the 2012 Sprint Cup schedule takes teams back to a track for the first time this year, temperatures exceed 100 degrees in much of the country. For those without power, it’s really hot. So hot we can actually feel like some of our favorite Sprint Cup drivers in the back half of the 2012 season. Here are three drivers who will feel the most heat the rest of this  season: 3. Jeff GordonGordon needs two wins to make the Chase. He has zero. Math is fun.2. Kyle B ...

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QUAKER STATE 400 ODDS

 Matt Kenseth…what are we going to do with you?Kenseth leads the 2012 Sprint Cup point standings. He has the best analytics of any driver all year. A past Cup champion, there was no reason to keep him off the short list of drivers who would win the 2012 Sprint Cup, until he bailed on Roush Fenway Racing this week. The Kenseth paradigm we find at Kentucky Speedway will manifest itself through the rest of 2012, making my gig a whole lot more challenging.Why To Keep Picking Kenseth:T ...

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