KOBALT TOOLS 400 ODDS

Two races down. Thirty-four races to go. It’s not The Undertaker at Wrestlemania, but I am undefeated in the 2012 Sprint Cup season, up a fake 210 dollars after Denny Hamlin’s win in Phoenix. And with so much success early in the season, it seems like a logical time to deviate from my early season strategy. Here’s why. Vegas is fickle:Anyone who has been there multiple times knows this for other reasons. But only four drivers have multiple wins at LVMS. Even though people lo ...

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SUBWAY FRESH FIT 500 ODDS

This is the week when NASCAR normally gets back to normal. Phoenix is a nice, but not overwhelmingly distinctive track which hosts a Sunday afternoon race. But if Daytona taught us anything, it’s that the new normal might be what we saw last Sunday, not what we might see this Sunday. Consider this. In 2010, a pothole almost ruined the Datyona 500. Jimmie Johnson won his fifth straight title.In 2011, Trevor Bayne won the Daytona 500. Together, Paul Menard, David Ragan and Regan Smith won ...

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DAYTONA 500 ODDS

The Great American Race is here.Racing’s biggest day sparks the beginning of the 2012 Sprint Cup season. Another new year brings another year of wagering fake money on every race, which ought to be interesting when you see the numbers coupled with the action we’ve seen over the last week.As always, there are three ground rules for my picks: I bet fifty fake dollars on every race.  My goal is to double my fake money should I win.I never follow the rules I make up during the ye ...

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2012 SPRINT CUP CHAMPION ODDS

2012 Sprint Cup odds...oh how I've missed you.The numbers are out. And even though there have been three whopping days of testing at Daytona, the numbers will surprise you. Here are three driver ranked too high and too low. Tony Stewart at 5/1: Too HighStewart’s 2011 Chase is movie material. Maybe straight to HBO, but movies are movies.If it took history to get Stewart his third trophy, why would he be a favorite to repeat? Cinderellas don’t repeat. Not even if they hang out with ...

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2011 ODDS REVIEW

Eleven wins. Twenty-six losses. If this was an academic setting, the 29.7% success rate would equal failure.If this was a batting average, the 29.7% success rate would equal a $10 million contract.When betting fake money on Sprint Cup races, the 29.7% success rate does equal a fake profit of 125 bucks for the year.Here’s a breakdown on how we arrived where we arrived. The Chase rules:Just like 2010, the Chase provided a great opportunity to make fake money. The type of track whittles do ...

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FORD 400 ODDS

Three points. Two driver. One Sprint Cup.It all boils down to one race for Tony Stewart and Carl Edwards. Up a fake 45 dollars after Stewart’s win last week, it’s also a make or break race in my quest to earn fake money for the year. Here’s the case for either or neither to win this weekend. Stewart hates historyNobody has won five Chase races. Nobody has won the Sprint Cup without winning a single race in the first 26. Stewart can destroy both of those trends with a win. St ...

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KOBALT TOOLS 500 ODDS

 Who starts the 2012 push at Phoenix is 2011?In 2009, Denny Hamlin won two of the final five races to propel his 2010 title run (minus Homestead.)In 2010, Carl Edwards won the final two races to propel him the points lead with two races to go. With two races left and two Chase ultra-super-wowdowehavetobecareful contenders, this opens the door for the next big thing in 2012. Here are three contenders: Brad Keselowski:It’s already been a breakout year. Dude is still fourth in the poi ...

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AAA 500 ODDS

New year. Same reality.Every year, the Chase begins. At first, all the drivers are within a few points of each other, legit contenders. Every week, a driver or two has a run of bad luck and goes out of contention. With three races left, three drivers find themselves in a solid place to win the 2011 Sprint Cup. The names might be new, but the same questions still linger Why are people not in the Chase still driving?If you’re not in the Chase, you shouldn’t race. Brian Vickers might ...

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TUMS FAST RELIEF 500 ODDS

 Denny Hamlin. Jimmie Johnson. Jeff Gordon. The three Musketeers of Martinsville. In the last five years, the trio combined for eight wins and 22 finishes of fifth or better. It would be crazy to not pick this trio to win Sunday. Maybe I’m nuts. Hamlin is hosed, and Johnson is resigned:Hamlin went all in to sink Jimmie Johnson and busted out. Since Daytona in February, it’s looked like a dark cloud has hovered over the entire team. Hamlin and Mike Ford look like they’r ...

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GOOD SAM CLUB 500 ODDS

  Talladega is always unpredictable. Sunday’s Good Sam Club 500 might be even unpredictable by Talladega standards. Here’s why:  NASCAR is changing the rules again:The goal is get rid of those two-car drafts. Will it work? Who knows. Will it impact how team runs? Probably. How? Not sure anyone will know until Sunday.Alignment issues:If you have two-car draft, how does that align with the Chase? Kevin Harvick ran with Clint Bowyer, who has one foot out the door to Mi ...

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