TUMS FAST RELIEF 500 ODDS

 Denny Hamlin. Jimmie Johnson. Jeff Gordon. The three Musketeers of Martinsville. In the last five years, the trio combined for eight wins and 22 finishes of fifth or better. It would be crazy to not pick this trio to win Sunday. Maybe I’m nuts. Hamlin is hosed, and Johnson is resigned:Hamlin went all in to sink Jimmie Johnson and busted out. Since Daytona in February, it’s looked like a dark cloud has hovered over the entire team. Hamlin and Mike Ford look like they’r ...

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GOOD SAM CLUB 500 ODDS

  Talladega is always unpredictable. Sunday’s Good Sam Club 500 might be even unpredictable by Talladega standards. Here’s why:  NASCAR is changing the rules again:The goal is get rid of those two-car drafts. Will it work? Who knows. Will it impact how team runs? Probably. How? Not sure anyone will know until Sunday.Alignment issues:If you have two-car draft, how does that align with the Chase? Kevin Harvick ran with Clint Bowyer, who has one foot out the door to Mi ...

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BANK OF AMERICA 500 ODDS

It’s the final night race of the 2011 Sprint Cup schedule. I’m sad too.Even though Halloween is a few weeks away, suspect some goulish behavior Saturday night. Here’s why. Teams are well rested:Crews will be home for two straight weeks. It’s like the eye of a hurricane in the season’s marathon finish. Add friends and family in the stands, and stuff is bound to happen.If a non Chaser wins at all the rest of the season, it’s this week.I know Talladega is comi ...

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HOLLYWOOD CASINO 400 ODDS

Just when things seem easier to predict, they get that much tougher.Kurt Busch bucked a trend, won a race and cost me fake money last week in Dover. I should still be happy up 65 fake dollars, but I’m not. Here’s why. Predicting races during the Chase should get easier. Drivers on the outside rarely get into Victory Lane. Smart fans know who the contenders are and can ride them to wins. Heck, Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson led me from virtual bankruptcy to being up big for the ye ...

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AAA 400 ODDS

The beginning of one era means the end of another.For the first time in 2011, profit and picks aligned. Whopper Man’s second win has me up 115 fake dollars with eight races to go. Mind you, all of this happened at a track Jimmie Johnson loved. Or used to love. For five straight years, it wasn’t a matter of if Johnson was going to make a run, rather how soon. Year after year, track after track, Johnson found a way to avoid multiple scrums and focus on what mattered most.2011 hasn&r ...

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GEICO 400 ODDS

Eleven drivers are chasing Jimmie Johnson for a chance to be champion. Most will fail.Even thought the points structure is new, the Chase has history which can help us determine who will and won’t win in 2011. Eighth or Worse, Don’t Bother Showing Up:Kurt Busch was seventh in points when he won in 2004.  Nobody eighth or worse going into the final race before The Chase has gone on to win The Chase.Kiss Tony Stewart, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Brad Keselowksi and Denny Hamlin goodbye ...

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WONDERFUL PISTACHIOS 400 ODDS

NASCAR got what it wanted.The Chase scenarios would confuse a math major. Several drivers would like a good showing to solidify their turf for the playoffs. Some need this race in order to even get in the playoffs. Just so happens the three drivers who need a win most are my picks this week, down a mere 75 fake dollars after Jeff Gordon’s Atlanta win. 20 fake dollars on Denny Hamlin at 9/2The last time Hamlin had a lead and needed a solid finish, he blew it at Homestead. Drivers and tea ...

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ADVOCARE 500 ODDS

It’s official. Nobody knows who’s winning the 2011 Sprint Cup, or the race this weekend. Why is it official? Look at the numbers for this week’s race in Atlanta. We’ve looked at the numbers for every single race the entire 2011 Sprint Cup schedule. There's been nothing like this: The superspeedways always tighten the numbers up because oddsmakers assume a big wreck will happen.  But certain drivers excel in those courses and get a bump.The road courses are always ...

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PURE MICHIGAN 400 ODDS

I’m on vacation. In Michigan.  How fitting?I spent six years in Northern Michigan trying to become the next Ron Burgandy. Often, I wondered why all these tourists would show up and create traffic in the summer. Now, I’m creating that traffic and watching some other anchor try to be the next Ron Burgandy. It’s surreal.So too are the changes taking place in NASCAR, where big manufactuers seem to be making bigger changes as we move toward the 2011 Chase. Ford is the new Ch ...

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GOOD SAM RV INSURANCE 500 ODDS

Dear Carl Edwards,You really screwed up my column. I wrote an entire segment about how the distractions surrounding your contract were hurting teams, impacting lines and making it harder to predict winners.   I was going to blame you for my loss at Indi, not Paul Menard who actually won the thing. Yes, I just typed that.  Down a fake 110 dollars, I was going to tout Matt Kenseth at the real leader of Roush Fenway, David Ragan as ready to step up and Ricky Stenhouse as the guy who sh ...

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