GEICO 400 ODDS

Tony Stewart ruined my favorite column of the year.Every year, I would write an article using past data to explain why drivers wouldn’t win the Chase. Tony Stewart blew a hole through half of those theories, making this year’s column moot. With that in mind, here are three things to think about when trying to predict a 2012 Sprint Cup Champion. Running Buddies:I still remember Tony Stewart passing Jeff Burton late in a race to pick up an extra point. Turns out that point won Whopp ...

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IS ALLMENDINGER FINISHED? MAYBE NOT

If you ask most fans talking heads, A.J. Allmendinger is toast at Penske Racing, and has probably kissed good-bye his one shot at a quality Sprint Cup ride. Drugs in NASCAR? Until now, at least as drivers go, it’s pretty sure ticket to obscurity. Is it this time? Admittedly, it won’t be any fun to be A.J. Allmendinger having a “Come to Jesus” talk with The Captain. Roger Penske commands respect, and if his track record with former drivers- Kurt Busch comes to mind- i ...

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WANTING THE BEST BUT PREPARED FOR WORST WITH A.J.

 UPDATE (2:27 pm ET) : According to an Associated Press report from Jenna Fryer, Allmendinger's Business Manager issued a statement saying the driver tested positive for an unnamed stimulant.“I can play. Give me a chance. Come on guys, I can do it” he says in almost a sing-song voice. “Just let me try, I won’t screw up, I promise.” It’s the battle cry of little brothers everywhere when they see an opportunity to run with the big boys. If you outfit him ...

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QUAKER STATE 400 ODDS

 Matt Kenseth…what are we going to do with you?Kenseth leads the 2012 Sprint Cup point standings. He has the best analytics of any driver all year. A past Cup champion, there was no reason to keep him off the short list of drivers who would win the 2012 Sprint Cup, until he bailed on Roush Fenway Racing this week. The Kenseth paradigm we find at Kentucky Speedway will manifest itself through the rest of 2012, making my gig a whole lot more challenging.Why To Keep Picking Kenseth:T ...

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QUICKEN LOANS 400 ODDS

LeBron James is playing in the NBA Finals.Albert Pujols left the St. Louis Cardinals.Hulk Hogan turned on Randy Savage and joined the NWO. Now, I know they feel. The Quiken Loans 400 takes place in Michigan International Speedway. American automakers use these races as a chance to showcase their successes. Thank goodness there are more of those to share in recent years.But business is business. Joey Logano’s quest to avoid a pink slip has me up a fake 405 dollars. So, sven though this ...

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FEDEX 400 ODDS

Well that was fast.The 2012 Sprint Cup season is entering is second trimester with this week’s FedEx 400. And while we shouldn’t expect our favorite driver to develop a baby bump any time soon, we should expect the following trends to develop for the rest of this season. The Trevor Bayne Effect Is GoneWhen Ryan Newman is the biggest upset of the year, the difference between contenders and Dave Blaney is clear. There’s no need for crazy upset picks the rest of the season. Sor ...

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SPRINT SHOWDOWN ODDS

I hate All-Star events. At least NASCAR makes them interesting.This year’s All-Star race will feature four segments at twenty laps a pop. The winner of each segment will start first through fourth in the final 10-lap sprint.While this is great for racing, it’s a random dart thrown blindfolded in a dark room with a board the size of a thimble for wagering. No chance.

The Sprint Showdown; now that might be the best wager all year. The race is two segments at twenty laps a pop. No f ...

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AAA 400 ODDS

The beginning of one era means the end of another.For the first time in 2011, profit and picks aligned. Whopper Man’s second win has me up 115 fake dollars with eight races to go. Mind you, all of this happened at a track Jimmie Johnson loved. Or used to love. For five straight years, it wasn’t a matter of if Johnson was going to make a run, rather how soon. Year after year, track after track, Johnson found a way to avoid multiple scrums and focus on what mattered most.2011 hasn&r ...

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THE BEST NASCAR RACING YOU MAY BE MISSING

Now that was a great NASCAR race last weekend! The racing wasn’t bad at New Hampshire, either. The Lenox Industrial Tools 301 was good, but if you missed the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race at Iowa, then you missed the best race of NASCAR’s three national touring series.I almost missed it too. I tend to be what my buddy Patrick Reynolds calls a “Cup snob” because of all the top series drivers that stink up the track in the Nationwide and the Truck Series. ...

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UPDATED FEDEX 400 ODDS

Dear Soapbox, I hope you’re reinforced. The 2011 Sprint Cup Season has been tremendous on the track. But like any live event, there are things that can happen off the track to make it even more eventful. With this week’s Dover picks awfully simple based on previous track records and me needing a win (nice job Regan Smith), here are some things that have to happen. MMA Bout Between Juan Montoya and Ryan NewmanThree rounds. Three minutes. A fat $100,000 check to each person’s ...

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