2013 SPRINT CUP RESOLUTIONS: WIN, LOSE OR DRAW

So how is your New Year’s Resolution going?Now is the time when we all aspire to work out more, eat less and find some other way to better ourselves in 2013. For the first few weeks of the year, things go great. For the remaining 49 weeks of the year, it’s back to the same old same old for 90% of the country.When it comes to NASCAR, who will turn over a new leaf? Who will keep it the same as it ever was? Let’s break it down, Bert Convy style. Win: Hendrick Motorsports will w ...

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2013 SPRINT CUP ODDS

 Let it ride.There is no more fitting statement for NASCAR and sports wagering. After 37 races and hundreds of picks, being up fake money is a source of pride, even if that pride amounts to just 122 fake dollars. But instead of walking away with my head held high, I am taking my fake winnings from 2012 and throwing them down for 2013. Championship odds are out, and here is where my fake money is going. 24 fake dollars on Tony Stewart at 10/1Let’s assume this new car model resembles ...

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FORD ECOBOOST 400 ODDS

We’re finally here.
The final race of the 2012 Sprint Cup schedule is upon us. Two drivers have a chance to take home the Sprint Cup. But there are four stories in play for this final race. As a result, there are four drivers getting my final fake dollars on the 2012 season. The driver who needs to win: 20 fake dollars on Jimmie Johnson at 4/1Johnson has the tenth best average finish among active drivers and has never won here. But Five Time has never had this large a deficit heading in ...

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AAA TEXAS 500 ODDS

It’s time for someone to crash the party. Who is it going to be?In 2010, Carl Edwards created a push that led to his near title in 2011. In 2011, Denny Hamlin seemed to recalibrate to his successful (except for last week 2011.) We’re now at a point where non-contenders make their push for 2013 mojo. Here are three likely contenders: Kevin Harvick:I get it. Harvick is in the Chase. But did you ever look at him at some point in 2012 and see a potential Sprint Cup Champion? The talen ...

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TUMS FAST RELIEF 500 ODDS

Losing streaks. They happen in ever sport and walk of life.For drivers like Dale Earnhardt Jr., they become a monkey you can’t seem to shake. For drivers like Martin Truex Jr., they become obstacles you just don’t overcome. Losing streaks, though not as long, are starting to impact the leading contenders for this year’s Chase. The only drivers to win twice during the Chase are Matt Kenseth, who is totally out of the title picture for reasons that make no sense to me, and Bra ...

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HOLLYWOOD CASINO 400 ODDS

How fitting to have a gambling theme when a casino sponsors a race?With four legitimate contenders competing for the 2012 Sprint Cup title, there are gaming related questions that will impact each of their chances of ending the season as champion. Can Brad Keselowski regain his mojo?Miller Man had a fuel gamble go against him. That’s unheard of. Fuel economy is Keselowski’s biggest competitive advantage. Without it, he can’t take home the title.Can Jimmie Johnson win a race? ...

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GOOD SAM 500 ODDS

It looks so easy on paper. Had I wagered fake money on Jimmie Johnson, Brad Keselowski and Denny Hamlin all season, I would have won nearly 50% of the 2012 Sprint Cup races.At Daytona, this would have seemed out of place. Now, I can’t image doing anything else. What’s amazing here are the odds for Talladega. It’s normally a crap-shoot. The “Big One” knocks out half the field. But consider the following: Who won this race earlier in 2012…Brad Keselowski.Who ...

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AAA 400 ODDS

So the Chase seems to be working.Six drivers are within sixteen points of the lead. Each of the contenders have tracks where they excel and tracks where they struggle. Now we enter one of racing’s most physical tracks, a Monster Mile with monster consequences.Before we get to the fake picks, a quick game of Win, Lose or Draw. Win: Furniture Row RacingKurt Busch could win races next season with this team. His name recognition could yield sponsorship opportunities that could create a seco ...

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SYLVANIA 300 ODDS

It’s amazing what one week can do to the 2012 Sprint Cup season.Jeff Gordon went from sleeper contender to no chance after a mechanical problem. Brad Keselowski went from cute story to points leader. And Denny Hamlin went from calm and confident to must win in the span of a week. Oddsmakers certainly reacted. There is a massive chasm now between contender and afterthought. In three years of writing this column, I’ve never see the divide that exists this week. From 25/1 to 60/1? Th ...

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FEDERATED AUTO PARTS 400 ODDS

So the final race for the Chase has some major dud potential. Silly Season has been anything but. Here’s quick looks at winners and losers, Bert Convy style. Win: Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch.Hamlin gets Roush Fenway insight at the types of tracks where Joe Gibbs Racing has struggled the most. It’s a big missing link.Lose: Trevor Bayne and Brian VickersHow can neither of these guys get a full season commitment?Draw: Joe Gibbs RacingMatt Kenseth helps now. But they spent millions de ...

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