2012 SPRINT CUP CHAMPION ODDS

2012 Sprint Cup odds...oh how I've missed you.The numbers are out. And even though there have been three whopping days of testing at Daytona, the numbers will surprise you. Here are three driver ranked too high and too low. Tony Stewart at 5/1: Too HighStewart’s 2011 Chase is movie material. Maybe straight to HBO, but movies are movies.If it took history to get Stewart his third trophy, why would he be a favorite to repeat? Cinderellas don’t repeat. Not even if they hang out with ...

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2011 ODDS REVIEW

Eleven wins. Twenty-six losses. If this was an academic setting, the 29.7% success rate would equal failure.If this was a batting average, the 29.7% success rate would equal a $10 million contract.When betting fake money on Sprint Cup races, the 29.7% success rate does equal a fake profit of 125 bucks for the year.Here’s a breakdown on how we arrived where we arrived. The Chase rules:Just like 2010, the Chase provided a great opportunity to make fake money. The type of track whittles do ...

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FORD 400 ODDS

Three points. Two driver. One Sprint Cup.It all boils down to one race for Tony Stewart and Carl Edwards. Up a fake 45 dollars after Stewart’s win last week, it’s also a make or break race in my quest to earn fake money for the year. Here’s the case for either or neither to win this weekend. Stewart hates historyNobody has won five Chase races. Nobody has won the Sprint Cup without winning a single race in the first 26. Stewart can destroy both of those trends with a win. St ...

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KOBALT TOOLS 500 ODDS

 Who starts the 2012 push at Phoenix is 2011?In 2009, Denny Hamlin won two of the final five races to propel his 2010 title run (minus Homestead.)In 2010, Carl Edwards won the final two races to propel him the points lead with two races to go. With two races left and two Chase ultra-super-wowdowehavetobecareful contenders, this opens the door for the next big thing in 2012. Here are three contenders: Brad Keselowski:It’s already been a breakout year. Dude is still fourth in the poi ...

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TUMS FAST RELIEF 500 ODDS

 Denny Hamlin. Jimmie Johnson. Jeff Gordon. The three Musketeers of Martinsville. In the last five years, the trio combined for eight wins and 22 finishes of fifth or better. It would be crazy to not pick this trio to win Sunday. Maybe I’m nuts. Hamlin is hosed, and Johnson is resigned:Hamlin went all in to sink Jimmie Johnson and busted out. Since Daytona in February, it’s looked like a dark cloud has hovered over the entire team. Hamlin and Mike Ford look like they’r ...

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GOOD SAM CLUB 500 ODDS

  Talladega is always unpredictable. Sunday’s Good Sam Club 500 might be even unpredictable by Talladega standards. Here’s why:  NASCAR is changing the rules again:The goal is get rid of those two-car drafts. Will it work? Who knows. Will it impact how team runs? Probably. How? Not sure anyone will know until Sunday.Alignment issues:If you have two-car draft, how does that align with the Chase? Kevin Harvick ran with Clint Bowyer, who has one foot out the door to Mi ...

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BANK OF AMERICA 500 ODDS

It’s the final night race of the 2011 Sprint Cup schedule. I’m sad too.Even though Halloween is a few weeks away, suspect some goulish behavior Saturday night. Here’s why. Teams are well rested:Crews will be home for two straight weeks. It’s like the eye of a hurricane in the season’s marathon finish. Add friends and family in the stands, and stuff is bound to happen.If a non Chaser wins at all the rest of the season, it’s this week.I know Talladega is comi ...

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HOLLYWOOD CASINO 400 ODDS

Just when things seem easier to predict, they get that much tougher.Kurt Busch bucked a trend, won a race and cost me fake money last week in Dover. I should still be happy up 65 fake dollars, but I’m not. Here’s why. Predicting races during the Chase should get easier. Drivers on the outside rarely get into Victory Lane. Smart fans know who the contenders are and can ride them to wins. Heck, Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson led me from virtual bankruptcy to being up big for the ye ...

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AAA 400 ODDS

The beginning of one era means the end of another.For the first time in 2011, profit and picks aligned. Whopper Man’s second win has me up 115 fake dollars with eight races to go. Mind you, all of this happened at a track Jimmie Johnson loved. Or used to love. For five straight years, it wasn’t a matter of if Johnson was going to make a run, rather how soon. Year after year, track after track, Johnson found a way to avoid multiple scrums and focus on what mattered most.2011 hasn&r ...

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ADVOCARE 500 ODDS

It’s official. Nobody knows who’s winning the 2011 Sprint Cup, or the race this weekend. Why is it official? Look at the numbers for this week’s race in Atlanta. We’ve looked at the numbers for every single race the entire 2011 Sprint Cup schedule. There's been nothing like this: The superspeedways always tighten the numbers up because oddsmakers assume a big wreck will happen.  But certain drivers excel in those courses and get a bump.The road courses are always ...

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