HOLLYWOOD CASINO 400 ODDS

Just when things seem easier to predict, they get that much tougher.Kurt Busch bucked a trend, won a race and cost me fake money last week in Dover. I should still be happy up 65 fake dollars, but I’m not. Here’s why. Predicting races during the Chase should get easier. Drivers on the outside rarely get into Victory Lane. Smart fans know who the contenders are and can ride them to wins. Heck, Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson led me from virtual bankruptcy to being up big for the ye ...

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AAA 400 ODDS

The beginning of one era means the end of another.For the first time in 2011, profit and picks aligned. Whopper Man’s second win has me up 115 fake dollars with eight races to go. Mind you, all of this happened at a track Jimmie Johnson loved. Or used to love. For five straight years, it wasn’t a matter of if Johnson was going to make a run, rather how soon. Year after year, track after track, Johnson found a way to avoid multiple scrums and focus on what mattered most.2011 hasn&r ...

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ADVOCARE 500 ODDS

It’s official. Nobody knows who’s winning the 2011 Sprint Cup, or the race this weekend. Why is it official? Look at the numbers for this week’s race in Atlanta. We’ve looked at the numbers for every single race the entire 2011 Sprint Cup schedule. There's been nothing like this: The superspeedways always tighten the numbers up because oddsmakers assume a big wreck will happen.  But certain drivers excel in those courses and get a bump.The road courses are always ...

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IRWIN TOOLS NIGHT RACE ODDS

I don't know who will win at Bristol. I know who won't.Kyle Busch.In the last five years, Busch has five wins at Brstol. Only twice has he finished worse than tenth.This year, Busch hasn't finished worse than fifth in any short track start. He has the shortest odds of any driver I've ever since since writing this column. And I still won't pick the guy. Here's why: History is against him:There's only been one repeat winner all year. In the year where everyone wins, that's not a good precedent. ...

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LENOX INDUSTRIAL TOOLS 301 ODDS

Are we there yet?We’re finally to the half-way point of the 2011 Sprint Cup season. I know. It already seems like forever ago when Trevor Bayne won at Daytona, when Jeff Gordon’s streak ended and when traffic at Kentucky felt longer than an episode of The Talk.This time last year, it was clear there were only a handful of drivers worth picking. Now, the field is more wide open than ever. And that’s before we head to NASCAR’s favorite paper clip. Eight different drivers ...

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COKE ZERO 400 ODDS

America is the land of opportunity. With that, I’m taking the chance to make some good old fashioned fake money this holiday weekend.Daytona is the first track to host its second race. Coupled with a new website with different racing odds, and I see it as a perfect chance to combine hindsight with insight to create foresight for Saturday night. Ford engines are the real deal:They have four wins on the season. Every week, a Roush driver has sniffed around a win. If odds makers won’ ...

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HELUVA GOOD 400 ODDS

What would Kid Rock do?Down a fake 210 dollars after last week’s debacle at Dover, I come to my former home state looking for some home cooking. But for reasons beyond me, the reasons to pick the favorites aren’t my favorite idea. Carl Edwards is the only person to win twice at this track in the last five years. And while Edwards is a threat to win the 2011 Sprint Cup, he only has one win all year. When Kevin Harvick was in this spot last season, Jimmie Johnson was still the favor ...

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5-HOUR ENERGY 500 ODDS

So the fuel duel discussion really has me thinking…Fake wagers on Brad Keselowski, Regan Smith and Trevor Bayne would each have paid enough to make my fake year.Last year, the best odds you could get for a win was 30/1. Trend? Hiccup? The answer to that question will dictate the rest of 2011 and my ability to stop the bleeding, down a fake 160 after Keselowski’s win. For those who say it’s a trend, there is valid support. David Ragan, Marcos Ambrose and AJ Allmendinger have ...

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2011 SPRINT CUP ODDS

The media tour is over. The testing will ratchet up. It’s finally time to turn the page on 2010 and focus on 2011.Surprisingly enough, every driver will win the 2011 Sprint Cup. Think I’m wrong? Just ask the drivers and reporters from the media tour. They’re all excited. They’ve either filled the holes that plagued their 2010 or solidified the points that made their 2010. Everything is perfect. Everyone is a winner.But unlike my nephew’s baseball league where they a ...

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HOLIDAY PROP BETS

Is it OK to ask Santa for a rear spoiler this Christmas?While many us untangle lights, try to keep our cat from jumping on the tree and fight gobs of people for the right to save five dollars on some stupid gift our Cousin Earl will never use, I have some racing-related topics to ponder, prop -bet style. Odds Kyle Busch gets his act together next season: 3/1Busch won three Sprint Cup races. He went to Victory Lane 13 times in the Nationwide Series and won eight times in the Craftsman Truck Se ...

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