TUMS FAST RELIEF 500 ODDS

Losing streaks. They happen in ever sport and walk of life.

For drivers like Dale Earnhardt Jr., they become a monkey you can’t seem to shake. For drivers like Martin Truex Jr., they become obstacles you just don’t overcome. Losing streaks, though not as long, are starting to impact the leading contenders for this year’s Chase.


The only drivers to win twice during the Chase are Matt Kenseth, who is totally out of the title picture for reasons that make no sense to me, and Brad Keselowski, who is holding on to the slimmest of leads despite his success. Keselowski hasn’t won since Dover and needs another win to cement his status and possibly break a tie after Homestead.

Denny Hamlin hasn’t won since New Hampshire. In a four horse race, it’s Hamlin who seems lost in the shuffle. This is Hamlin’s best remaining track. Does Hamlin handle the pressure like he did in New Hampshire or Homestead?

Jimmie Johnson hasn’t won since Indi. Ask Carl Edwards how winning a title works when you don’t win a race during the Chase.

There are four opportunities left to end streaks and begin the final push to a title. There are also four chances to break the worst streak of my career. Eleven straight losses. That’s where I stand. The Brickyard 400 was my last successful fake wager, with fake profits tumbling to a mere 52 fake dollars heading into Martinsville. Here are my fake picks sure to go wrong Sunday.

30 fake dollars on Denny Hamlin at 7/2
When Hamlin needs a big momentum boost, this is where he goes. Hamlin swept here in 2012 and always sniffs for the lead. Hamlin needs to win another race to take home the title. This would be a logical place for that to happen, which means there is no chance of it happening.

20 fake dollars on Jimmie Johnson at 4/1

As good as Hamlin is here, Johnson has the highest average finish among active drivers and six career wins. Five-time needs one more win to become Six-time; this would be a logical place for that to happen, which means there is no chance of it happening.

If Brad Keselowski ends his streak,  I might cry. Here’s what The Spread thinks. Enjoy the race Sunday, and insert random catchphrase here.

Denny Hamlin 7/2
Jimmie Johnson 4/1
Jeff Gordon 7/1
Tony Stewart 8/1
Brad Keselowski 8/1
Kyle Busch 10/1
Kasey Kahne 12/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 12/1
Clint Bowyer 15/1
Martin Truex Jr 18/1
Kevin Harvick 18/1
Ryan Newman 25/1
Matt Kenseth 40/1
Carl Edwards 40/1
Joey Logano 40/1
Greg Biffle 40/1
Brian Vickers 50/1
Marcos Ambrose 100/1
Kurt Busch 100/1
Jeff Burton 100/1
Aric Almirola 100/1
Juan Montoya 100/1
Jamie McMurray 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Sam Hornish Jr 200/1
David Gilliland 300/1
Travis Kvapil 300/1
Bobby Labonte 300/1
Regan Smith 300/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 50/1